Men’s T20 World Cup 2020 Predictions!

 Qualifying Stage:

In the new format displayed by the ICC, this year's T20 World Cup tournament will initially have two groups (A and B) at the qualifying stage spearheaded by Sri Lanka and Bangladesh.

Ireland, Papua New Guinea (PNG), and Oman will join Sri Lanka in Group A. Namibia, Netherlands, and Scotland will join Bangladesh in Group B. The top two sides from each group will qualify for the Super 12 round.

Group A

Group B

Sri Lanka

Bangladesh

Papua New Guinea

Netherlands

Ireland

Namibia

Oman

Scotland

 

Oman qualified for T20 World Cup 2020 Qualifiers

Source: dailyhunt.in

Prediction Chart

GROUP A

Sri Lanka is currently ranked 8. In their latest series against Pakistan in Pakistan, they whitewashed green caps 3-0. Also, they won the World T20 title in 2014 while they were runner-up in 2009 and 2012. Therefore, they seem to grab the first spot in group A.

Sri Lanka is currently ranked 14. Ireland recently drew the series with reigning champions West Indies 1-1 at their home. While the Irish team has been a regular part of all the previous T20 championships. Their experience compared to Oman and PNG and current form makes them a clear winner of the 2nd spot in group A.

GROUP B

Bangladesh is currently ranked 9. Despite losing series against India 2-1 in India, they are still a force to reckon with. They have significantly improved in white-ball cricket. Out of 89 matches in total, they have won 58. They are looking a sure shot contender to qualify for the main round.

Among the Netherlands, Namibia and Scotland, Netherlands have an upper hand. In 2009 ICC T20 World Cup 2009, they stunned hosts England in the tournament opener. Similarly, the Dutch team beat England again in the 2012 edition. Out of 75 matches, Netherlands have won 40 matches. Scotland has won 29 of 65 while Namibia has got 12 victories out of 16.

 

Netherlands stunned England in T20 World Cup 2009 opener

Source: sportskeeda.com

As far as results are concerned, Namibia has the upper hand. However, the Netherlands has played and won games against bigger teams the most comparatively. Therefore, our prediction would show the Netherlands alongside Bangladesh to qualify into the next round.

T20 is such a fabulous format where prediction can go upside down. The shortest format gives equal chance to Oman, PNG, Scotland and Namibia to punch above their weights and make our prediction wrong. However, the current situation depicts the position mentioned above.

Main Round

The matches of the main round will kick off from October 24th. The groups of the main round are named as Group 1 and Group 2. Top two teams from qualifying group A will join Group 1. Similarly, the top two sides from group B will make their place in Group 2.

Teams in the main groups are as follows:

Group 1

Group 2

Australia

England

New Zealand

India

Pakistan

South Africa

West Indies

Afghanistan

A1

B1

A2

B2

 

Current T20I Rankings (As of 8th February)

Position

Team

Rating Points

1

Pakistan

270

2

Australia

269

3

England

265

4

India

265

5

South Africa

262

6

New Zealand

244

7

Afghanistan

236

8

Sri Lanka

236

9

Bangladesh

226

10

West Indies

223

 

Usually, when you see the Test & ODI rankings, you find a big difference of rating points among the teams. While on T20 rankings, top 4 teams sit very close to each other. No. 1 Pakistan & No. 4 India has a difference of only 5 rating points. That meagre difference suggests that the semi-finalists teams do not have a far different on the scale of performance.

Therefore, we should consider the top 4 teams as the favourite of the upcoming T20 World Cup 2020 based on rankings & ratings.

Past T20 World Cup Champions

Year

Winner

Runners-up

Host Team

2007

India

Pakistan

South Africa

2009

Pakistan

Sri Lanka

England

2010

England

Australia

West Indies

2012

West Indies

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka

2014

Sri Lanka

India

Bangladesh

2016

West Indies

India

India

 

India crowned inaugural T20 World Cup 2007

Source: sportsmaza.com

Performance of Host Teams

Year

Teams

Performance

2007

South Africa

Knocked out in 2nd Round

2009

England

Knocked out in 2nd Round

2010

West Indies

Knocked out in 2nd Round

2012

Sri Lanka

Runners-up

2014

Bangladesh

Knocked out in 2nd Round

2016

India

Knocked out in Semi Final

 

Predictions as per the Australian Conditions

West Indies alongside Asian teams India, Sri Lanka and Pakistan have produced high-level results in the past. These teams have, majority of the times, reached to the finals unlike Australia, South Africa and England. The former three teams have fared in ODI cricket world cups.

However, this time the situation would possibly be upside down. This time, T20 mega event’s hosts are Australia (for the first time) and Australian conditions mostly favour South Africa, England and New Zealand and Australia (SENA). So, history would definitely be different this time around. Therefore, you can safely assume India and SENA to be the top contenders of the 2020 T20 World Cup title.

Performance of the Defending Champions

Year

Team

Performance

2009

India

2nd Round

2010

Pakistan

Semi Final

2012

England

2nd Round

2014

West Indies

Semi Final

2016

Sri Lanka

2nd Round


Every defending champion didn’t perform well into the next tournament. So, this is why we can predict Sri Lanka’s performance based on the past (first they have to qualify to play Super 12s). Also, Sri Lanka was whitewashed by Australia in Australia in recent summer.

Possible Captains for the T20 World Cup 2020

Team

Captain

Matches

Win

Pakistan

Babar Azam

6

3

India

Virat Kohli

37

22

Australia

Aaron Finch

31

16

England

Eoin Morgan

43

23

New Zealand

Kane Williamson

42

19

West Indies

Kieron Pollard

3

1

Afghanistan

Asghar Afghan

46

37

South Africa

Faf Du Plessis

40

24

 

Current ICC T20I Rankings (As of 8th February)

1 - Pakistan

Pakistan is having the worst run although they are world number 1. In the year 2019, Pakistan has lost all four T20I series. While they won 10 consecutive T20 series from 2016-2018 under Sarfaraz Ahmed’s captaincy.

Pakistan sealed the T20 series in 2018

Source: hindustantimes.com

2 - Australia

Australia has won 3 out of 3 series in 2019, at home. Aussies beat India, Sri Lanka and current World No.1 Pakistan at their backyard.

3 - England

ODI champs England have won their last three T20 series against Sri Lanka, current T20 champs West Indies and New Zealand in New Zealand.

4 - India

Under Virat Kohli, India has won their last three T20I series. In fact, India has claimed 6 out 5 victories to their name under Kohli’s leadership.

5 - South Africa

South Africa drew against India 1-1 in India, while they won 4 out 4 series before this.

6 - New Zealand

Kiwis won 3 out of 4 series in the year 2019.

10 – West Indies

West Indies crowned T20 World Cup 2016

Source: sportsmaza.com

Titleholders West Indies are not looking in a good position. They have lost 7 out 9 series they played from July 2018. They have recently drawn to qualifying team Ireland at home.

Rankings from 7 to 9 are Afghanistan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Out of three two will play qualifiers while we don’t see Afghans as the title contenders.

Final Analysis

As mentioned earlier, it is always tough to make a prediction in cricket, especially in the T20 format. However, analysis based on past record and Australian conditions we conclude as follows:

Semi Finalist 1

Australia

Semi Finalist 2

India

Semi Finalist 3

South Africa

Semi Finalist 4

Pakistan/New Zealand

 

Featured Image Source: icc-cricket.com